2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
April 09, 2024
NCAA Tourney Recap
March Madness, 2024.
BANKROLL: 50 units
RISKED: 90 units
NET: +31 units
PROFIT: +62%
Tourney Success Record
WEEK 1: 49-26-4
WEEK 2: 22-14
5
WEEK 3: 3.5-3
5% PLAYS: 3-2 +2 units
SPREADS: 35-21-4 +12 units
LIVE/2H: 6-3 +2.5 units
$LINES: 9-8 +1.5 units
TOTALS: 1-4 -3 units
FUTURES: 26-16 +16 units
ROUND 1: 23-15-2
ROUND 2: 15-5-2
SWEET 16/ELITE 8: 22-14
FINAL 4: 3-3
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A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
