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Smokehouse Mike's Basketball

NBA PREVIEW April 9th

SA travels to MEM as a 4.5 point favorite with a total of 216.5
SA’s Osman,Johnson,Barlow are out. MEM’s Wantanabe, Smart,
Kennard, Conchar, Jackson, Bane, and Aldama are out.
LaRivia and Stevens are GTD.
Early public action shows 58% lean toward SA and the over/under is a pick’em

DET travels to PHI as a 15.5 point dog with a total of 222.5
DET’s Cunningham, Fournier are GTD. Fonticichio is out.
PHI’s Melton,Maxey, Lowry, Harris and Embiid are GTD.
Covington is out.
Early public action shows 83% lean toward PHI and 82% favor the over.

IN travels to TOR as a 13.5 oint favorite with a total of 239.5
TOR’s Quickley, Porter, Poeltl, Carton, Boucher, and Barnes are out.
Dick is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 72% lean toward IN and 54% favor the under.

DAL travels to CHA as a 13.5 point favorite with a total of 223.5
DAL’s Lively, Brown are out. Kleber and Green are GTD.
CHA’s Williams is out and Bailey is a GTD.
Early public action shows 83% lean toward DAL and 79% favor the under.

BOS travels to MIL as a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 228.5
BOS’s Porzingas and Horford are GTD. MIL’s Middleton, Beverly and Giannis are GTD.
Gallaway and Beauchamp are out.
Early public action shows the spread is a 50/50 and 67% favor the over.

MIA travels to ATL as a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 219.5
MIA’s Rozier, O. Robinson, Love, Jovic, and BAM are GTD.
D. Robinson is out. ATL’s Young, Lundy, Griffin are out.
Early public action shows 92% lean toward MIA and 93% favor the under

WSH travels to MN as a 17.5 point dog with a total of 224.5
WSH’s Vukcevic, Kuzma, Holmes, Gill, Davis are GTD. Shamet, Jones and Bagley are out.
MN’s Towns is out
Early public action shows 73% lean toward MN and 74% favor the under.

NY travels to CHI as a 4.5 point favorite with a total of 212.5
NY’s Washington, Brown, and Bogdanovic are GTD.
CHI’s White, Dosunmu, Caruso are GTD. Phillips is out.
Early public action shows 79% lean toward NY and 52% favor the over.

ORL travels to HOU as a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 215.5
ORL’s Wagner and Isaac are GTD. HOU’s Tate and Sengun are out.
Early public action shows 56% lean toward HOU and 97% favor the over.

SAC travels to OKC as a 5.5 point dog with a total of 226.5
SAC’s Murray and Ford are GTD. Monk is out.
OKC”s Williams is a game time decision. Hayward is out.
Early public action shows 79% lean toward OKC and 99% favor the under.

DEN travels to UT as a 14.5 point favorite with a total of 224.5
DEN’s Strawther, Porter, Murray, Jokic, Gordon, and Caldwell-Pope are GTD.
UT’s Markkanen, Kessler, Dunn, Collins and Clarkson are out.
Early public action shows 99% lean toward DEN and 67% favor the under.

NO travels to POR as a 13.5 point favorite with a total of 212.5
NO’s Marshall is a game time decision. Ingraham is out.
POR’s Thybull, Simons, Sharpe, Brogdan are out. Grant, Badji are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 86% lean toward NO and 97% favor the under.

LAC travels to PHX as a 7.5 point dog with a total of 226.5
LAC’s Theis, Miller, Diabate are GTD. Primo and Leonard are out.
PHX’s Nurkic is GTD. Lee is out.
Early public action shows 82% lean toward PHX and 83% favor the over.

GS travels to LAL as a 2.5 point dog with a total of 235.5
GS’s Wiggins, Payton are GTD. Saric is out.
LAL’s Wood, Vanderbilt are out. AD ande James are GTD.
Early public action shows 67% lean toward GS and 62% favor the over.

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Barnes Brothers MEGA World Cup Preview
01:57:40
Barnes Brothers Do It Again!!!!

What if someone would have told you that Tottenham Spurs would AVOID RELEGATION by the "skin of their teeth"??

Would You Listen?!?!

IF YOU DIDN'T..... NEXT TIME YOU WILL BECAUSE ALL THE BARNES BROTHERS DO IS WIN BABY WIN!!!!

00:08:15
Another SportsPicks Winner!!!!

Arsenal Takes Home EPL Crown.... And The Barnes Brothers Told Ya It Would Happen!!

00:08:22
SEC Preview Podcast

A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!

SEC Preview Podcast
Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB

March Madness final four recap and Championship preview...

Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
LIVE CHAT FOR 2026

Now open!

Wise Guy Round Table - 6/21/26

ANY PICKS MADE IN THIS SHOW ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"

START TIME - 8:00 AM EST

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🔥 June 21, 2026 Degenerate Special 🔥

Afternoon slate locked with high-K arms! 🔥

Your Locked Open Bets (placed & pending):

1. 3-Leg Parlay — Odds: +121

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-440) — CIN Reds @ NY Yankees 1:36 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR Blue Jays @ CHC Cubs 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-310) — BOS Red Sox @ SEA Mariners 4:11 PM ET

2. 5-Leg Parlay — Odds: +200

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-420) — CIN @ NYY 1:36 PM ET
• Logan Webb 4+ Strikeouts (-900) — SF Giants @ MIA Marlins 1:41 PM ET
• Dustin May 4+ Strikeouts (-500) — STL Cardinals @ KC Royals 2:11 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-300) — BOS @ SEA 4:11 PM ET
Single Bet
• Dylan Cease Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-132) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET

#MLBProps #StrikeoutBets #DegenerateMode 🤑⚾

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OFFICIAL PICKS: Midterms, 2026
House Elections Projections
 
The House tends to be more responsive to midterm dynamics, but, like the Senate, swings hard in elections where some combination of the Four Factors are present -- cost of living crisis or recession; war; major scandal; betrayal or down-ballot realignment. A fun map to use is this simulator, which takes partisan averages from existing models, and plugs in the map based on your adjustment of the generic ballot edge for one party or another. https://globalelectionsimulator.com/#/usa-house
 
Historic Norms: When a combination of the Four Factors are present, this is the kind of swing you get:
1930: 52 seat swing
1946: 55 seat swing
1958: 49 seat swing
1974: 49 seat swing
1994: 54 seat swing
2006: 31 seat swing
 
2026 PROJECTIONS

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Senate 2026

First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.

Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe. 

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Massie Deep Dive
Based on historic turnout patterns in contested GOP primaries, early voting to date, and a range of polling sources, this is my updated set of forecasts for the Kentucky 4th Congressional District GOP primary. 
 

 

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