2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
April 26, 2024
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
NBA PREVIEW April 26th
PLAY OFFS
MIL travels to IN as a 6.5 point dog with a total of 223.5
MIL’s Livingston and Giannis are out
Early public action shows 60% lean toward IN and 92% favor the over.
LAC travel to DAL as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 213.5
LAC’s Leonard is a game time decision.
DAL’s Prosper, Hardaway are out. Gafford is a GTD.
Early public action shows 53% lean toward LAC and 52% favor the over.
MN travels to PHX as a 5.5 point dog with a total of 208.5
MN’s Anderson is a game time decision.
PHX’s Allen is a gametime decision. Lee is out.
Early public action shows 71% lean toward PHX and 97% favor the over.
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
