2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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Irish Presidential Election - Review and Prognosis For Future Edges
So Catherine Connolly won the 2025 Irish presidential election in a landslide. Congratulations to all who took that pick; and just to think some though that this would be the most boring presidential election in Irish history. It contained everything: serious muckraking, candidates pulling out, record numbers of spoiled votes and keepie uppies on social media. The end result was an emphatic rejection of the government candidates and the biggest electoral blowout in Irish political history. From a betting point of view, this market was for me this year was what the US presidential election was last year. The question now becomes what can we learn from this election and how can we apply it to find other potentially significant sources of edge in other political markets.
Political betting is unlike sports markets because the nature of the edge is very different. Whereas sports betting relies much more on technicals, building ...