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Post season analysis of betting strategies for European football (soccer)/adjustments for next season
This post is partly driven by my attempts to adjust and refine my approaches to football betting this past season and partly by Robert Barnes' recently saying on stream that the official picks' being primarily spread betting was under review, that he was going to assess if we would be more profitable using moneyline. Since we all become stronger when we pool knowledge together, I am going to analyse the trends I saw this season and the implications it has for betting value for the coming season. I will also be outlining some adjustments I will be making to my own personal strategy and how I will be using them to optimise official picks for the coming season.
At the outset it's important to emphasise that football betting is by the standards of sports betting, very hard. It's an extremely heavily optimised market and there are a large number of markets where there quite simply is no edge if you go into...