Note: 2% of bankroll max recommended on American football unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended on soccer onless otherwise noted.
There's a betting market on the next world leader to leave office.
Here's the list:
Netanyahu, Lula, Zelensky, Starmer, Milei, Macron, Trump, Erdogan, Lukashenko, Kim Jong Un, Xi Jinping
We know Macron is leaving in 2027, so we can exclude Erdogan, Trump, and Milei because their terms end after his.
Let's exclude Xi Jinping, Kim Jong Un, and Lukashenko because they're strongmen who are unlikely to go before Macron.
That leaves us with:
Netanyahu, Lula, Zelensky, Starmer, and Macron.
Personally, I think Zelensky will go first, but I'd love to hear your thoughts.
Who do you guys think will go first?
These are the final pre-election picks. If you already have placed picks in the market, I recommend staying put, as I am, unless it's easy for you to move funds around to get the best value currently available. For those who have not yet placed picks, here are the best value picks I could find currently available in the markets. The % in front of the pick is the recommended % of the bankroll/investment fund available for political betting markets; as always, don't risk anything you cannot afford to lose, as there are always only probabilities, not certainties. The % below assume you only have access to 1 market; if you have access to multiple markets, adjust accordingly to the best value for the picks.