2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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October 13, 2024
FREE PICKS: NFL PLAYER PROPS, Sunday, October 13, 2024
0.5% max recommended. (ok to take up 1.5 yard difference & -130).
WASH QB DANIELS UNDER 48.5 rushing yards
WASH RB EKELER UNDER 44.5 rushing yards
WASH TE ERTZ OVER 29.5 receiving yards
BAL RB HENRY OVER 17.5 longest rush
BAL WR FLOWERS OVER 58.5 receiving yards
BAL QB JACKSON OVER 220.5 passing yards
CHI WR ODUNZE OVER 3.5 receptions
CHI RB SWIFT OVER longest reception 11.5 yards
ATL RB ALLEGEIER OVER 38.5 rushing yards
NE TE HENRY OVER 24.5 receiving yards
NE WR POLK OVER 25.5 receiving yards
NE QB MAYE OVER 164.5 passing yards
HOU WR DELL OVER 52.5 receiving yards
HOU WR DIGGS UNDER 63.5 receiving yards
GB RB JACOBS OVER 67.5 rushing yards
NO QB RATTLER OVER 186.5 passing yards
NO WR OLAVE OVER 46.5 receiving yards
DAL TE FERGUSON OVER 50.5 receiving yards
DET RB GIBBS OVER 60.5 rushing yards
LVR WR TUCKER OVER 36.5 receiving yards
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
