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All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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Crick's Picks: NBA, NHL, & MLB - 4/26/25

Well Folks... We FINALLY put together a MONSTER DAY yesterday!! I don't really know what to say beyond that, other than... WE LOVE IT WHEN A PLAN COMES TOGETHER!! The Gambling Gods were KIND TO US, as we ended the night PROFITABLE in all 3 Sports, and we were UP at least a couple Units in each category!! If that don't get ya a little FIRED UP... Ya might wanna CHECK YOUR PULSE cause it had me GIDDY like a kid on Christmas Mornin!! We've got another SOLID SLATE across the Sportsverse Today, and hopefully an ENCORE is in store!! Once again... WHAT COULD GO WRONG!! You & Your Beautiful Families STAY SAFE Out There!!! Good Luck & Good Gamblin!!!!

TUNE IN for "Crick's Corner" at 3:00 PM EST (Monday - Friday) over on the "Sportspicks" Channel on Rumble!! Hope To See Y'all There!!!!

ATS = Against The Spread

ML = MoneyLine

ALT = Alternate Spreads

SGP = Same Game Parlay

TT = Team Total

IPP = Individual Player Props

PL (Puck Line) = -1.5/+1.5 Goals (Hockey)

RL (Run Line) = -1.5/+1.5 Runs (Baseball)

NRFI = No Runs First Inning (Baseball)

YRFI = Yes Runs First Innings (Baseball)

1/2 Unit = .5 Units (50% Unit)

1/4 Unit = .25 Units (25% Unit)

SPRINKLE = At Your Discretion (DON'T GO CRAZY!!)

THESE ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"

ALL MY ODDS COME FROM DRAFTKINGS

Crick's Picks Results: NHL, NBA, & MLB (4/25/25) / YTD

4/25/25

NHL

  • 3-1 ATS +5.06 Units

1-0 (2-Unit Plays)

2-1 (1-Unit Plays)

NHL (4/25/25) Overall = +5.06 Units

NBA

  • 2-1 ATS +2.34 Units

2-1 (1-Unit Plays)

NBA (4/25/25) Overall = +2.34 Units

MLB

The Baltimore Orioles/Detroit Tigers & Boston Red Sox/Cleveland Guardians Games were Postponed Yesterday (Weather), so those results obviously won't be reflected on our record.

Also, The Red Sox/Guardians Game was the 3rd Leg of our "NRFI Parlay"... With the game being postponed, The NRFI Parlay became a "2-Legger" with Odds at +291... Divide that by 2... And our profit for Yesterday's NRFI was +1.45 Units.

  • 3-3 ATS +1.91 Units

3-3 (1-Unit Plays)

  • 1-0-1 ML +1.8 Units

1-0-1 (1-Unit Plays)

  • 1-0 NRFI Parlay +1.45 Units

1-0 (1/2-Unit Plays)

  • 0-1 YRFI Parlay -.5 Units

0-1 (1/2-Unit Plays)

MLB (4/25/25) Overall = +4.66 Units

NHL, NBA, & MLB (4/25/25) Overall = +12.06 Units

Year To Date

NHL

  • 149-205 ATS -14.11 Units

7-6 (2-Unit Plays)

136-183 (1-Unit Plays)

6-16 (1/2-Unit Plays)

Playoff Results

These Results Have Already Been Factored Into The YTD Results... This Section Is Simply To Track Our Playoff Results, Individually, As Well.

  • 10-13 ATS +.33 Units

1-1 (2-Unit Plays)

8-12 (1-Unit Plays)

1-0 (1/2-Unit Plays)

NHL Playoffs To Date = +.33 Units

NHL Year To Date = -14.11 Units

NBA

  • 86-62 ATS +28.32 Units

5-1 (3-Unit Plays)

25-25 (2-Unit Plays)

56-36 (1-Unit Plays)

  • 9-15 ML -2.93 Units

1-1 (2-Unit Plays)

7-12 (1-Unit Plays)

1-2 (1/2-Unit Plays)

  • 0-1 IPP -1.00 Units

0-1 (1-Unit Plays)

Playoff Results

These Results Have Already Been Factored Into The YTD Results... This Section Is Simply To Track Our Playoff Results, Individually, As Well.

  • 8-8 ATS +2.81 Units

1-1 (2-Unit Plays)

7-7 (1-Unit Plays)

  • 0-2 ML -1.5 Units

0-1 (1-Unit Plays)

0-1 (1/2-Unit Plays)

NBA Playoffs To Date = +1.31 Units

NBA Year To Date = +24.39 Units

MLB

  • 45-67-4 ATS +.59 Units

3-1 (2-Unit Plays)

40-56-4 (1-Unit Plays)

2-10 (1/2-Unit Plays)

  • 14-18-2 ML -1.77 Units

14-17-2 (1-Unit Plays)

0-1 (1/2-Unit Play)

  • 2-9 NRFI Parlay -1.07 Units

2-9 (1/2-Unit Plays)

  • 3-8 YRFI Parlay +3.47 Units

3-8 (1/2-Unit Plays)

  • 1-3 YRFI/NRFI (Combined) Parlay +1.66 Units

1-3 (1/2-Unit Plays)

MLB Year To Date = +2.88 Units

NHL, NBA, & MLB Year To Date (Combined) = +13.16 Units

Crick's Picks: NHL, NBA, & MLB - 4/26/25

PAY ATTENTION TO THE UNIT AMOUNT RECOMMENDED FOR EACH PICK

4/26/25

NHL (5 Picks)

  • Tampa Bay Lightning ML (+114) @ Florida Panthers 2-Unit Play / 1:10 PM EST

  • Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (+275) @ Florida Panthers 1-Unit Play / 1:10 PM EST

  • Vegas Golden Knights/Minnesota Wild UNDER 5.5 (+105) 1-Unit Play / 4:10 PM EST

  • Ottawa Senators -1.5 (+220) vs Toronto Maple Leafs 1-Unit Play / 7:10 PM EST

  • Colorado Avalanche -1.5 (+140) vs Dallas Stars 1-Unit Play / 9:40 PM EST

Total Units Invested NHL (4/26/25) = 6 Units

NBA (4 Picks)

  • Cleveland Cavaliers/Miami Heat OVER 219.5 (+160) 1-Unit Play / 1:05 PM EST

  • Oklahoma City Thunder -17.5 (+117) @ Memphis Grizzlies 1-Unit Play / 3:35 PM EST

  • Denver Nuggets ML (+200) @ Los Angeles Clippers 1-Unit Play / 6:05 PM EST

  • Golden State Warriors -6.5 (+140) vs Houston Rockets 1-Unit Play / 8:35 PM EST

Total Unit Invested NBA (4/26/25) = 4 Units

MLB (10 Picks)

  • Detroit Tigers -1.5 (+154) vs Baltimore Orioles - Game 1 1-Unit Play / 1:10 PM EST

  • Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (+179) vs Boston Red Sox 1-Unit Play / 1:10 PM EST

  • Los Angeles Angels/Minnesota Twins OVER 9.5 (+155) 1-Unit Play / 2:10 PM EST

  • St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+136) vs Milwaukee Brewers 1-Unit Play / 2:15 PM EST

  • Cincinnati Reds/Colorado Rockies UNDER 9.5 (+115) 1-Unit Play / 3:10 PM EST

  • Texas Rangers/San Francisco Giants UNDER 7 (+127) 1-Unit Play / 4:05 PM EST

  • Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+150) @ Detroit Tigers - Game 2 1-Unit Play / 6:10 PM EST

  • Houston Astros -1.5 (+124) @ Kansas City Royals 1-Unit Play / 7:10 PM EST

  • San Diego Padres -1.5 (+160) vs Tampa Bay Rays 1-Unit Play / 8:40 PM EST

  • Los Angeles Dodgers -3.5 (+172) vs Pittsburgh Pirates 1-Unit Play / 9:10 PM EST

NRFI/YRFI Parlays

1/2-UNIT PLAY RECOMMENDED FOR EACH OF THESE PARLAYS

NRFI (No Runs First Inning) Parlay

  • Boston Red Sox/Cleveland Guardians - Game 1 (-125) 1:10PM EST

  • Cincinnati Reds/Colorado Rockies (+105) 3:10 PM EST

  • Chicago White Sox/Athletics (+100) 4:05 PM EST

Total Odds Boost = +638

YRFI (Yes Runs First Inning) Parlay

  • Los Angeles Angels/Minnesota Twins (-110) 2:10 PM EST

  • Houston Astros/Kansas City Royals (+100) 7:10 PM EST

  • Atlanta Braves/Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) 8:10 PM EST

Total Odds Boost = +600

Total Units Invested MLB (4/26/25) = 11 Units

Total Units Invested: NHL, NBA, & MLB (4/26/25) Overall = 21 Units

THESE ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"

Good Luck Today Folks!!!!

-Crickett

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LIVE CHAT FOR 2026

Now open!

I didn’t see an @MajorWedgy prop teaser for today, here’s one I’m on. Do with it what you will. @svea123

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MiracleManDan’s AI Baseball 7/31/26 - Doveryai, no proveryai

Experimental - Alpha Testing - Release 3.1

I saw a few days ago that 3,0 had introduced something bad. I had little time to look at it, so busy with other projects. Shoulda looked harder at the summary. Trust, but verify, quoting Reagan quoting Russian.

Blew my monthly allotment of Fable5 to do a holistic review. It found a major flaw in the model that was introduced in the last release. Probably start doing that every month. I also need to find time to implement some local open weight models.

Enough of my troubles. These picks will be marked as AIC31. 

MLB Full Game 2026 — Play Analysis

========================================

Generated: 2026-07-31 22:18 UTC

CSV: outputs/mlbfg/bets-2026-07-31.csv

Model: moneyline_blend (warehouse xG when available)

Scan: 27 fixtures → 1 actionable plays

ACTIONABLE PLAYS (1)


1. Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins

   Pick: Minnesota...

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OFFICIAL PICKS: Midterms, 2026
House Elections Projections
 
The House tends to be more responsive to midterm dynamics, but, like the Senate, swings hard in elections where some combination of the Four Factors are present -- cost of living crisis or recession; war; major scandal; betrayal or down-ballot realignment. A fun map to use is this simulator, which takes partisan averages from existing models, and plugs in the map based on your adjustment of the generic ballot edge for one party or another. https://globalelectionsimulator.com/#/usa-house
 
Historic Norms: When a combination of the Four Factors are present, this is the kind of swing you get:
1930: 52 seat swing
1946: 55 seat swing
1958: 49 seat swing
1974: 49 seat swing
1994: 54 seat swing
2006: 31 seat swing
 
2026 PROJECTIONS

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Senate 2026

First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.

Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe. 

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Massie Deep Dive
Based on historic turnout patterns in contested GOP primaries, early voting to date, and a range of polling sources, this is my updated set of forecasts for the Kentucky 4th Congressional District GOP primary. 
 

 

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