2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
As some may have seen, a trio of late GOP-leaning pollsters found Jones tied or with a slight lead, after media polls with a big Democratic bias uniformly showed a major lead for the GOP candidate. Does this change my mind? Nope. Here's why below.
First, all three pollsters are really just average -- Trafalgar, Insider Advantage, and Quantus -- while the 4th, Emerson, has had a slight Democratic lean. I trust none of them in the way I trust Baris.
Second, a sneak peak within their numbers shows the Jones surge is entirely assuming low propensity Democrats -- minority voters & very young voters -- will flood the polls. I see no evidence of that in the early voting data and remain suspect of it. Even these polls showing a close race for AG have a massive GOP lead for AG amongst the high propensity voter groups.
Third, even these polls show the Democratic AG with a very low approval rating, and a very high risk voters just leave that part of the ballot blank, as long time Virginia ...
Miyares Insurance
for anyone getting cold feet, you could buy margin of victory for Jones ar 16%. this covers the 0-1.99% since only the farthest democrat leaning polls have him winning 2 percent if he does win it will be under that. That being said, I think it may be unnecessary as it looks like Jones might lose but I definitely understand the weight of putting alot on one bet