🚨Red Alert! Polymarket Now Has Football Spreads and Totals!🚨

If baseball runlines are anything to go by I would not be surprised if these markets will be illiquid for the foreseeable future. If you have read my post on synthetic spreads you will see where some of this is going: -0.5 should be the same price as yes moneyline while +0.5 should be opposing team no moneyline. In practice, these will not always be the same so look out for opportunities to get even better prices with the ride order in the right place for the right amount of time.

In my review of last years football picks, I did find that moneyline provided a more compelling edge over spread betting. This was largely driven by the lack of ability for tight spreads (-0.25 to +0.25) to benefit from an edge on the draw, leading to situations where it is possible to find an edge moneyline but not against the spread. i did notice that with higher spreads that you would still get comparable results. Indeed, selling yes ...