Shared post

SportsPicks

Politics • Investing & Finance • Sports

All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.

Interested? Want to learn more about the community?

Show me more content first

MajorWedgy@MajorWedgy

3 hours ago

✅ MLB F5 Edge Scanner v10.0 – 8 PM Slate (June 19)

S-Tier Plays (Diff ≥ 2.50):
• CLE F5 (Bibee) — Diff 2.7 | 70%+
• PIT F5 (Chandler) — Diff 2.5 | 67–69%
Strongest Edge: CLE F5 (Bibee) — cleanest matchup on the late slate.

A-Tier: TEX F5 (deGrom) — Diff 1.9 | 61–63%
Pure pitching model (no odds/market data). Research & backtesting focused.
Full details + all metrics in the thread. Who’s riding CLE or PIT F5 tonight? 👀

#MLB #F5 #MLBPicks #SportsBetting

Interested? Want to learn more about the community?

Show me more content first

What else you may like…

Videos

Podcasts

Posts

Articles

Crickett1414@Crickett1414

June 03, 2026

Barnes Brothers MEGA World Cup Preview

01:57:40

Crickett1414@Crickett1414

May 26, 2026

Barnes Brothers Do It Again!!!!

What if someone would have told you that Tottenham Spurs would AVOID RELEGATION by the "skin of their teeth"??

Would You Listen?!?!

IF YOU DIDN'T..... NEXT TIME YOU WILL BECAUSE ALL THE BARNES BROTHERS DO IS WIN BABY WIN!!!!

00:08:15

Crickett1414@Crickett1414

May 26, 2026

Another SportsPicks Winner!!!!

Arsenal Takes Home EPL Crown.... And The Barnes Brothers Told Ya It Would Happen!!

00:08:22

SportsPicks@SportsPicks

August 01, 2023

SEC Preview Podcast

A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!

SportsPicks@SportsPicks

April 02, 2023

Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB

March Madness final four recap and Championship preview...

SportsPicks@SportsPicks

April 02, 2023

Smokehouse Mike's NBA

Live Chat

SportsPicks@SportsPicks

April 18, 2026

LIVE CHAT FOR 2026

Now open!

MajorWedgy@MajorWedgy

6 hours ago

MLB F5 SYSTEM

June 19, 2026

Strongest play on the early evening games is Detroit Tigers F5

1. S-Tier Plays (Diff ≥ 2.50
)
• DET F5 (Skubal over Eisert) — Diff 3.4 | 70%+
• NYY F5 (Schlittler over Lowder) — Diff 2.9 | 70%+

2. A-Tier Plays (Diff 1.75–2.49)
• MIL F5 (Misiorowski over Pérez) — Diff 2.3 | 64–66%

3. Underdog Pitching Edges
• WSH — Poulin carries a slight edge in a low-confidence, low-Diff spot vs. Jax (spot/bulk role). Small sample but clean recent results.

• MIA — Bachar’s small-sample effectiveness gives a narrow underdog-side nod in a close C-Tier game.

4. Strongest Edge On Slate
Strongest Play — DET F5 (Skubal). Largest Diff on the slate (3.4), elite 2026 metrics from Skubal (low FIP, excellent command/ratios, proven sample), and very weak opposing starter in Eisert. Highest conviction and profile strength.

Close second: NYY F5 (Schlittler) — Nearly as large a gap (2.9) with Schlittler’s Cy Young-caliber 2026 numbers and 15 GS of dominance.

Reef Breaks at Midnight@Red_Diver

3 hours ago

@SportsPicks Poch gets it right, AGAIN.

This time, without his best player, and knowing Australia was going to start the game with a back line of 5, Poch elects to play with 2 strikers.

Utilizing the 4-4-2 against a 5-4-1 would have made for a very ugly game, so Poch once again laid his balls on the table and utilized Antonee Robinson as a wing back, effectively attacking from a 3-5-2.

This was crucial in both confusion and overwhelming Australia’s defense as all 3 center backs had to constantly work out how to cover the 2 strikers, neutralizing the advantage of a back 5.

When Australia went from broke and started attacking from a 3-4-3, the natural counter is to bring in a speedy winger that can beat a defense over the top. Unfortunately, beyond Pulisic (out) and Dest (already playing), we really didn’t have one of those options, which is why the game got ugly for us.

This USMNT is legit. Poch is legit. Fire up Hulk Hogan’s theme song and let’s all have a Budweiser.

SportsPicks@SportsPicks

June 02, 2026

OFFICIAL PICKS: Midterms, 2026

House Elections Projections

The House tends to be more responsive to midterm dynamics, but, like the Senate, swings hard in elections where some combination of the Four Factors are present -- cost of living crisis or recession; war; major scandal; betrayal or down-ballot realignment. A fun map to use is this simulator, which takes partisan averages from existing models, and plugs in the map based on your adjustment of the generic ballot edge for one party or another. https://globalelectionsimulator.com/#/usa-house

Historic Norms: When a combination of the Four Factors are present, this is the kind of swing you get:

1930: 52 seat swing

1946: 55 seat swing

1958: 49 seat swing

1974: 49 seat swing

1994: 54 seat swing

2006: 31 seat swing

2026 PROJECTIONS

Only for Supporters

To read the rest of this article and access other paid content, you must be a supporter

Read full Article

SportsPicks@SportsPicks

May 30, 2026

Barnes Betting Report: Senate 2026

First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.

Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe.

Only for Supporters

To read the rest of this article and access other paid content, you must be a supporter

Read full Article

SportsPicks@SportsPicks

May 15, 2026

Barnes Betting Report: Massie Deep Dive

Based on historic turnout patterns in contested GOP primaries, early voting to date, and a range of polling sources, this is my updated set of forecasts for the Kentucky 4th Congressional District GOP primary.

Only for Supporters

To read the rest of this article and access other paid content, you must be a supporter

Read full Article

Available on mobile and TV devices