These are not Sportspicks "Recommended Picks"
Well guy's we finally made it!! Super Bowl LVII kicks off in just under 24 hours, and it's been an exciting ride all-season long. We are going to continue to bring you guy's a variety of content, throughout the year, on a wide range of Sports. We want to continuously get better at bringing you ALL of the best information available to give you an advantage over "The House". Always feel free to share any thoughts or ideas you may have that might help us provide you with a better product. We are here for YOU!! We want to give you the things that YOU want. I hope you guy's have enjoyed this season as much as I have, and I expect Super Bowl LVII to be the "Cherry on Top" for what has been a very fun 2022 NFL Season. From a gambling standpoint, we've had another solid year here at Sportspicks, and we're looking to cash in BIG on the Super Bowl!!
In this post, I'll give you my "Game Prediction", Offensive and Defensive Props, Kicker Props, Favorite "Longshot" Props, Captain's Mode Line-up, and my "Recommended" Same Game Parlay. I hope y'all enjoy this and hopefully we can have a HUGE Super Bowl Sunday!! Let's get to it!!
Super Bowl LVII: Chiefs vs Eagles
Game Prediction
Final Score: Kansas City 27 Philadelphia 21
Crick's Picks
Chiefs +1.5
Chiefs ML
Chiefs/Eagles UNDER 51 Points
Game Props
Chiefs to win by 1-6 points +300
Both teams to score 20+ points -155
Neither team to score 30+ points +115
Eagles to score first TD and lose +380
Teams to score same amount of Total TD's +350
Game not tied again after 0-0 +110
Largest lead of the game UNDER 14.5 points -125
Eagles to score more points in 1st Half vs 2nd Half/OT +110
Eagles to score 1st TD -125
Chiefs 1st Score to be a FG +170
Eagles Team Total Points(1st Half) OVER 12.5 -125
Eagles Total FG's made (1st Half) UNDER 0.5 +140
Eagles Team Total Points UNDER 26.5 -115
Eagles OVER 0.5 TD's (1st Qtr) -120
Eagles OVER 6.5 Points (1st Qtr) +100
Eagles to win Race to 10 Points -125
Chiefs Team Total Points OVER 24.5 -110
Chiefs Total FG's made (1st Half) OVER 0.5 -180
Chiefs Total TD's (2nd Half) OVER 1.5 -130
Offensive Props
Jalen Hurts Anytime TD -110
Travis Kelce Anytime TD -135
Dallas Goedert Anytime TD +150
DeVonta Smith Anytime TD +150
Jerick McKinnon Anytime TD +180
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Anytime TD +225
Jalen Hurts OVER 1.5 Pass TD's -105
Patrick Mahomes OVER 25.5 Completions -135
Jalen Hurts UNDER 0.5 INT's -130
Patrick Mahomes Longest Completion UNDER 38.5 yards -120
Travis Kelce OVER 6.5 Receptions -175
Jerick McKinnon OVER 2.5 Receptions -145
DeVonta Smith OVER 5.5 Receptions +110
Kenneth Gainwell OVER 19.5 Rushing Yards -125
Boston Scott OVER 2.5 Rush Attempts +135
Patrick Mahomes first completed pass UNDER 10.5 Yards -140
Miles Sanders Longest Rush UNDER 14.5 Yards -125
Jerick McKinnon OVER 20.5 Receiving Yards -110
Noah Gray OVER 12.5 Receiving Yards -120
Kenneth Gainwell OVER 33.5 Rush+Receiving Yards -120
1st TD Scorer to be Tight End +390
Shortest TD OVER 1.5 Yards +125
Each Team to score 1+ TD's in each Half -110
TD to be scored in every Quarter +100
1st TD Scored to be OVER 8.5 Yards -110
1st Points Scored Yardage to be UNDER 19.5 Yards -110
Eagles to Score TD on 1st Drive +195
Eagles to Score First -120
Total Offensive Yardage OVER 740.5 -110
Total 3rd Down Conversions OVER 11.5 -110
Total 4th Down Conversions UNDER 1.5 +130
Total Fumbles Lost UNDER 0.5 +175
Defensive Props
Brandon Graham OVER 0.75 Sacks +195
George Karlaftis OVER 0.75 Sacks +165
Josh Sweat OVER 0.75 Sacks +110
Eagles OVER 2.5 Sacks -140
Nick Bolton OVER 10.5 Tackles + Ast -115
Kyzir White OVER 6.5 Tackles + Ast +100
Eagles to Record 1st Sack -115
1st Sack of Game to be recorded in the 1st Qtr +110
Total Game Sacks UNDER 5.5 -120
Special Teams Props
Jake Elliott UNDER 1.5 FG's Made -125
Jake Elliott OVER 2.5 PAT's Made -110
Harrison Butker OVER 7.5 Kicking Points -125
Chiefs OVER 1.5 FG's Made +100
Eagles Total FG Yardage UNDER 56.5 -110
Total FG Made UNDER 2.5 +150
Total FG Made (1st Qtr) OVER 0.5 +100
Total FG Made Yardage UNDER 109.5 -110
1st Successful FG Made OVER 37.5 Yards +100
1st Punt of Game will be a Fair Catch +230
Chiefs to be 1st team to Punt -120
Eagles Longest Punt UNDER 52.5 Yards +100
Eagles to Record Most Punts +150
Total Punts OVER 7.5 +140
Favorite Longshots (+800 or worse)
There will be a Fake Punt or Fake FG in the Game +3500
Defensive Lineman to win MVP +2500
Linebacker to win MVP +2800
Josh Sweat to Record 1st Sack of Game +800
Dallas Goedert 1st TD Scorer +1100
DeVonta Smith Last TD Scorer +1100
Chauncey Gardner-Johnson to make 1st INT of Game +800
Chiefs to win Game 27-21 +7500
Chiefs to win by exactly 6 Points +1000
Exactly 48 Points scored in Game +3000
Free SGP (7 Picks)
Travis Kelce Anytime TD
DeVonta Smith Anytime TD
Chiefs +1.5
Patrick Mahomes 25+ Completions
Kenneth Gainwell OVER 19.5 Rushing Yards
DeVonta Smith 6+ Receptions
Josh Sweat 1+ Sacks
Total Odds Boost = +4500
10.00 to win 450.00
DFS Captain's Mode Line-Up (50,000 Salary Cap)
Teams are comprised of a "Captain" and five (5) other "Flex" Players for a total of 6 Players. Your Captain earns 1.5x Points, but will cost 1.5x Salary
Captain - Patrick Mahomes 16,500
Flex - Harrison Butker 4,000
Flex - Kenneth Gainwell 5,000
Flex - Dallas Goedert 6,400
Flex - Jalen Hurts 11,200
Flex - Jerick McKinnon 6,800
Total Combined Salary Cap = 49,900
Good Luck and Enjoy the Game!!!!
-Crickett
In this edition of "Master Class", we're gonna look at Prediction Markets vs Sportsbooks, and why the Prediction Markets are the Future of Sports Betting!! Come join us, as we try to provide you with all the tools to STACK YOUR NICKELS TO THE CEILING!! Feel Free to drop any questions you have in the comments!! Hope This Helps My Friends!! Good Luck, Good Gamblin, & Have The Day You Deserve!!
-Crickett
Two conflicting trends dictate the Senate outcome in 2026. The map heavily favors Republicans, as the competitive Senate seats up lean heavily Republican. By contrast, the election context heavily favors Democrats, with war, recession, realignment and scandal tipping in their direction. A deeper dive reveals why prediction markets still likely undersell Democratic prospects.
First, the idea that Senate midterms favor the party out of power in the White House is belied by both recent and a century of history of Senate elections. Unlike the House, only a third of Senate seats face election in any midterm, and that map dictates outcomes unless the election context is particularly bad for the incumbent party.
Consider that the highly unpopular Biden didn’t lost any net Senate seats in 2022 and Trump added Senate seats in the Democratic friendly cycle in 2018. Equally, Clinton didn’t lose net Senate seats in 1998 nor did W. in 2002. Even low-approval election cycles like 1966 and 1982 didn’t produce a big swing in the Senate. Indeed, since 1934, the party in power only lost 10% or more of their Senate seats (4+) less than half of the time. Democrats need a flip of exactly that — at least 4 Senate seats — to retake power in the Senate.
Then take a look at the map, and you can see the reason for optimism in GOP circles and some traders in the prediction markets. Only 2 GOP-held seats are in states Trump won by less than double digits, while 2 Democratic-held seats are in states Trump won, and one of those GOP held seats features a long-time incumbent who typically runs double-digits ahead of the GOP norm (Collins in Maine). This is why the GOP entered the year believing odds of losing the Senate were remote, and the prediction markets mostly concurred.
But this ignores the counter-trend: the degree of election dismay with the incumbent party in the White House, and the reasons for that dismay. Presidential job approval has not been a neat proxy for Senate midterms because it depends on the reason for that dissatisfaction in the electorate. Four factors drive Senatorial midterms: war, recession/cost of living, realignment, and scandal. When two of those four factors are not present and don’t dominate, then the incumbent party’s odds of losing 4+ Senate seats drops to less than 20%. By contrast, when two of those four factors are present and do predominate, then the odds of the incumbent party losing 4+ Senate seats rises to 100%. Indeed, the median number of Senate seats lost when some combination of war, recession, realignment and scandal, are present, the White House party loses at least 8 Senate seats.
A few examples: while FDR added Senate seats in 1934 midterms, he lost 9 in 1938 midterms due to the combination of recession and scandal (trying to stack SCOTUS). 1942 and 1946 gave us war and recession to cost Democrats 8 and 12 Senate seats alike. 1950 gave us war again and scandals concerning the war costing Democrats 5 Senate seats. 1958 gave us recession and scandal, costing Ike 15 Senate seats. While JFK added Senate seats in 1962 and Nixon added Senate seats in 1970, only Watergate and stagflation in 1974 or the combination of Iran Contra and vulnerable class of 1980 incumbents cost the incumbent party 4 or more Senate seats until the realignment election of 1994, where evangelicals shifted their down-ballot voting to the GOP en masse. It took war and scandal in 2006 to see the Senate switch 4+ Senate seats again.
That’s the story of 2026: a very GOP favorable Senate map versus a very Democratic friendly election cycle. The GOP enters election season with all four factor present: war, recession/cost of living, realignment, and scandal. The Iran War was already deeply unpopular, and it’s impact on the economy in gas and diesel prices turns Americans sour on their current economic prospects, as wages fall behind, housing and health care feel increasingly unaffordable, labor force participation continues to drop, the the mirage of AI keeps the GDP just above a technical recession. The Epstein scandal remains one of the worst scandals in American political history, and Trump managed to associate himself deeply with the scandal in his handling of it. Then the realignment, as the new Trump 2024 voters joined the Obama-Trump converts of 2016 in abandoning GOP identity, already evident in surveys and primary participation.
A quintet of voter groups appear to be realigning away from the Republican brand — hispanic voters, black voters, industrial area voters, libertarian-leaning voters, and war-skeptical voters alike. This realigning electorate shows up disproportionately in key Senate contests. The war-skeptical voters in states like Maine, New Hampshire, Ohio, Michigan, Iowa, Montana, Nebraska, and Alaska (these are the states W failed to gain in between 2000 and 2004 due to the Iraq War before it even turned unpopular). The hispanic voters in states like Florida and Texas. The African-American voters in states like North Carolina and Georgia. The industrial voters in Ohio and Michigan. The libertarian leaving voters in states like New Hampshire, Alaska, Texas and Florida.
Thus, many of the states that seem “Safe” on the map are anything but, as their realigning electorates shift back against the Republican brand, with all of them having recent histories in electoral cycles of favoring Democrats or being true swing states. Take states like Florida and Texas where suburban margins began to erode for the GOP in the Trump era but countered that by massive margin shifts in hispanic and black precincts. Primary participation, voter identification, and public opinion surveys show those black and hispanic voters shifting back massively away from the GOP brand, which, given the erosion in some suburban areas and losses with younger generations, makes states Florida and Texas closer to competitive than double-digit leans.
In big swing election cycles, even “safe” Senate seats can suddenly turn razor close, as Bob Dole found out in 1974, barely holding on to his Kansas seat before being the VP nominee two years later. Strong independent candidates in Kansas, Nebraska, South Dakota and Montana may pose a unique threat to GOP held seats, as the Nebraska race in 2024 showed, with Osborn running 17 points ahead of Harris’ margin in the state. Democrats field the much better candidate in Ohio with a proven track record of out-performing Democratic margins in the state, while the Texas GOP nominee faces abandonment from his own party after they spent over $100M bashing him in the state for a disliked party incumbent. Alaska primary results suggest the Democratic nominee already holds the edge in that ranked choice voting state, while the famed cross-over support for Collins in Maine appears to be fading with newer generations taking over the voter rolls. My current map would be as follows, with surprising closer-than-expected races in Montana, Kansas, Louisiana, Florida, Mississippi, South Dakota, South Carolina and Kentucky, and a median map of Democrats holding 53+ Senate seats after the 2026 elections.

If past is prologue, the map won’t save the GOP in 2026, and an ever bigger tsunami may be incoming than anyone in Washington expects.