Deep Dive: National Title Game, Michigan-Washington, January 8, 2024
@SportsPicks and everyone else interested here, I am trying to create a playoff hockey model and would like to here some constructive feedback on it.
So in the game of hockey I view some of the key stats/factors that are predictive to winning to be Goalie Play, Puck possession in the offensive zone, quality of chances both offensively and defensively, Special teams play, and of course talent. Especially top end talent throughout the team, for example having an elite center, defenseman, and goalie.
Something I think should be included here is that luck plays a great deal into the game more than other sports imo. Refs are very sporadic in the playoffs with what they do and don’t call from game to game. Also injuries typically add up because of how much faster and physical the game is this time of year. Probably most important is the luck and effect of having a hot goalie for the playoffs.
Look forward to the feedback.
NBA PREVIEW May 2nd
PLAY OFFS
Game 6
Series score 3-2 MIL
MIL plays IN as a 4.5 point favorite with a total of 216.6
MIL’s Giannis,Middleton,Beverly and Lillard are GTD.
IN’s Haliburton is GTD.
Early public action shows 59% lean toward IN and 75% favor the over.
Game 6
Series score 3-2 NY
NY plays PHI as a 3.5 point dog with a total of 201.5
NY’s Robinson is a game time decision. Brown and Washington are out.
PHI’s Covington is out. Embiid is GTD.
Early public action shows 58% lean toward PHI and 70% favor the under.
Deep Dive: Alabama-Michigan Playoff, Rose Bowl, January 1, 2024
Season Comparisons
Yard Per Play
Michigan Offense: 6.1, 43rd
Michigan Defense: 4.3, 4th
Alabama Offense: 6.4, 30th
Alabama Defense: 4.9, 18th
A deep dive, with talent-based power ratings, yard-per-play performance based power ratings, and third party independent database game simulation power ratings, and inidivudal game write-up of each title game. A few sites I utilize often:
https://collegefootballdata.com/teams
https://www.pff.com/greenline/ncaa
https://247sports.com/Season/2023-Football/CollegeTeamTalentComposite/
https://collegefootballnerds.com