Deep Dive: National Title Game, Michigan-Washington, January 8, 2024
Interesting article from Schuetz on the accountants taking over sports betting.
"It's only going to get worse."
One of my more controversial picks was to bet the Fed to make a 50 bps cut in September, which traded as low as 12 to 1. Fed just cut interest rates by 50bps. Congrats to the winners!
A great NFL made up for a rough soccer weekend, to maintain a very healthy profit margin on the season so far. Spreadsheet attached with all listed picks, their outcome, and their outcome by predictive metrics (such as expected goals or yards per play), green indicating success, yellow indicating neutral, and red indicating a loss.
YTD: +18 units
YTD Profit: +36%
Annualized Rate of Return: 375%
Deep Dive: Alabama-Michigan Playoff, Rose Bowl, January 1, 2024
Season Comparisons
Yard Per Play
Michigan Offense: 6.1, 43rd
Michigan Defense: 4.3, 4th
Alabama Offense: 6.4, 30th
Alabama Defense: 4.9, 18th
A deep dive, with talent-based power ratings, yard-per-play performance based power ratings, and third party independent database game simulation power ratings, and inidivudal game write-up of each title game. A few sites I utilize often:
https://collegefootballdata.com/teams
https://www.pff.com/greenline/ncaa
https://247sports.com/Season/2023-Football/CollegeTeamTalentComposite/
https://collegefootballnerds.com