Deep Dive: National Title Game, Michigan-Washington, January 8, 2024
Sorry y'all, I'm a day late getting my NFL Picks out, but it's been a real busy week. Last week was another "wash" as we basically broke even, but we'll give it our best shot to get in the GREEN this week!! Hope everyone has a GREAT WEEKEND & y'all STAY SAFE out there!! Good Luck & Good Gamblin!!!!
ATS = Against The Spread
ML = MoneyLine
ALT = Alternate Spreads
THESE ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"
ALL MY ODDS COME FROM DRAFTKINGS
Crick's Picks Results: NFL - Week 4/YTD
Week 4
4-4 ATS -.31 Units
2-2 ML +.38 Units
Week 4 Overall = +.07 Units
Year To Date
11-11 ATS -.97 Units
4-5 ML -.28 Units
0-4 ALT -4.00 Units
Lost ALT Parlay Week 1 -.5 Units
NFL Year To Date = -5.75 Units
Crick's Picks: NFL - Week 4 ATS (8 Picks)
Full Unit Bet Recommended For These Picks
Sunday 9/29/24 (6 Picks)
Green Bay Packers -2.5 (-118) vs Minnesota Vikings 1:00 PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals/Carolina Panthers OVER 47 (-112) 1:00 PM EST
Indianapolis Colts +2 (-108) vs Pittsburgh Steelers 1:00 PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5 (-110) vs Philadelphia Eagles 1:00 PM EST
Arizona Cardinals -3.5 (+100) vs Washington Commanders 4:05 PM EST
Cleveland Browns/Las Vegas Raiders UNDER 36.5 (-110) 4:25 PM EST
Monday 9/30/28 (2 Picks)
Tennessee Titans/Miami Dolphins UNDER 36.5 (-108) 7:30 PM EST
Seattle Seahawks/Detroit Lions OVER 46 (-112) 8:15 PM EST
Total Units Invested NFL Week 4 ATS = 8 Units
Crick's Picks: NFL - Week 4 ML (2 Picks)
Full Unit Bet Recommended For These Picks
Sunday 9/29/24 (2 Picks)
Indianapolis Colts ML (+110) vs Pittsburgh Steelers 1:00 PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML (+105) vs Philadelphia Eagles 1:00 PM EST
Total Units Invested NFL Week 4 ML = 2 Units
Total Units Invested NFL Week 4 Overall = 10 Units
THESE ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"
Good Luck This Weekend Folks!!!!
-Crickett
Here are the sides the sharps are on this weekend.
NCAAF
VATECH
WASHINGTON
MARYLAND
PURDUE
KENTUCKY
UAB
BAYLOR
SDST
AUBURN
UNLV
WISCONSIN
UNC
MISS ST.
PENN ST.
ALABAMA
MICH ST.
S. ALA.
FSU
WYOMING
WASH ST.
ARIZONA
NFL
FALCONS
COLTS
JAGS
PACKERS
PANTHERS
BEARS
BUCS
RAVENS
SEATTLE
Through 6 weeks, we have a 33% profit, with college football the most profitable this year so far. Full report attached with picks for every week and every sport; green signals success; yellow a push; red a loss. The xg/ypp column refers to whether the underlying stats show the game would be a successful pick over time, using the same color-coded system.
Deep Dive: Alabama-Michigan Playoff, Rose Bowl, January 1, 2024
Season Comparisons
Yard Per Play
Michigan Offense: 6.1, 43rd
Michigan Defense: 4.3, 4th
Alabama Offense: 6.4, 30th
Alabama Defense: 4.9, 18th
A deep dive, with talent-based power ratings, yard-per-play performance based power ratings, and third party independent database game simulation power ratings, and inidivudal game write-up of each title game. A few sites I utilize often:
https://collegefootballdata.com/teams
https://www.pff.com/greenline/ncaa
https://247sports.com/Season/2023-Football/CollegeTeamTalentComposite/
https://collegefootballnerds.com