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All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.

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DannyWalter@MiracleManDan

5 hours ago

Word is the Swiss seem to be fermenting well, but their defense if full of holes.

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Crickett1414@Crickett1414

July 09, 2026

Barnes Brothers: World Cup Preview - Part 2

01:03:49

Crickett1414@Crickett1414

June 03, 2026

Barnes Brothers MEGA World Cup Preview

01:57:40

Crickett1414@Crickett1414

May 26, 2026

Barnes Brothers Do It Again!!!!

What if someone would have told you that Tottenham Spurs would AVOID RELEGATION by the "skin of their teeth"??

Would You Listen?!?!

IF YOU DIDN'T..... NEXT TIME YOU WILL BECAUSE ALL THE BARNES BROTHERS DO IS WIN BABY WIN!!!!

00:08:15

SportsPicks@SportsPicks

August 01, 2023

SEC Preview Podcast

A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!

SportsPicks@SportsPicks

April 02, 2023

Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB

March Madness final four recap and Championship preview...

SportsPicks@SportsPicks

April 02, 2023

Smokehouse Mike's NBA

Live Chat

SportsPicks@SportsPicks

April 18, 2026

LIVE CHAT FOR 2026

Now open!

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Jamie Donnelly@seimiodonnghaile

6 hours ago

World Cup Quarter Final Norway vs England - My Picks

1% England to win vs Norway in 90 minutes at 50c (good to 55c)
0.5% Over 2.5 goals at 58c (good to 63c)
0.5% Both teams to score at 62c (good to 68c)
0.5% Over 9.5 corners at 46c (good to 56c)

The first of tonight's two quarter finals features a matchup going all the way back to the dark ages, Norway vs England. Norway come into this fixture off the back of a 2-1 win over Brazil, in which Haaland scored two goals before Neymar pulled one back from a penalty, the second penalty Brazil had that game. England meanwhile inflicted one of the very few defeats Mexico have ever suffered at the Estadio Azteca, holding on for a 3-2 win after having played most of the second half with ten men after Jarrell Quansah's red card for a studs up challenge on Mexico's Jesus Gallardo. Both teams have been involved in some explosive, transition heavy games.

I would consider tonight's game to follow in the volatility of these teams' previous games. ...

DannyWalter@MiracleManDan

5 hours ago

MiracleManDan’s AI Baseball 7/11/26

Experimental :

7/11. As a reformed dice player, one of my favorite days.

MLB 2026 — Play Analysis

========================================

Generated: 2026-07-11 17:54 UTC

CSV: outputs/mlbf5/bets-2026-07-11.csv

Model: moneyline_blend (warehouse xG when available)

Scan: 15 fixtures → 1 actionable plays

ACTIONABLE PLAYS (1)

1. Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies

Pick: Detroit Tigers (H) | F5 MONEY | FD +130

Kickoff: 07/11/26 18:11:0 (G15)

Starters: Detroit Tigers Casey Mize (2.89, 0.96) | Philadelphia Phillies Cristopher Sánchez (6.33, 1.52) | SP ERA delta +3.44 (away-home)

Angle: Mid-market dog vs high-brand favorite with non-ace starter

Model: 52.8% win | Fair -112 | Edge +9.3%

Units: 3 | ACTIONABLE

Ratings: home=4.83 away=3.67 | form 0.80/0.40 | mu=+1.20

Notes: H: Casey Mize (2.89, 0.96) A: Cristopher Sánchez (6.33, 1.52) Model: 52.8% Edge: 9.3% Form: +1.20 Angle: Mid-market dog vs high-brand favorite with non-ace starter

MLB Full Game 2026 — Play ...

SportsPicks@SportsPicks

June 02, 2026

OFFICIAL PICKS: Midterms, 2026

House Elections Projections

The House tends to be more responsive to midterm dynamics, but, like the Senate, swings hard in elections where some combination of the Four Factors are present -- cost of living crisis or recession; war; major scandal; betrayal or down-ballot realignment. A fun map to use is this simulator, which takes partisan averages from existing models, and plugs in the map based on your adjustment of the generic ballot edge for one party or another. https://globalelectionsimulator.com/#/usa-house

Historic Norms: When a combination of the Four Factors are present, this is the kind of swing you get:

1930: 52 seat swing

1946: 55 seat swing

1958: 49 seat swing

1974: 49 seat swing

1994: 54 seat swing

2006: 31 seat swing

2026 PROJECTIONS

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SportsPicks@SportsPicks

May 30, 2026

Barnes Betting Report: Senate 2026

First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.

Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe.

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SportsPicks@SportsPicks

May 15, 2026

Barnes Betting Report: Massie Deep Dive

Based on historic turnout patterns in contested GOP primaries, early voting to date, and a range of polling sources, this is my updated set of forecasts for the Kentucky 4th Congressional District GOP primary.

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