Deep Dive: National Title Game, Michigan-Washington, January 8, 2024
Happy Draft Day!
We will be live over on Rumble reacting to every pick from tonight's draft. If you could I would appreciate it if you would like and retweet this tweet that I tagged Rumble in so we can get them to feature our show tonight. Last year Rumble did not feature one channel covering the NFL draft 1st round. Let's change that this year.
Miracle Man Dan's Kentucky Derby
It is notoriously hard to handicap 3YOs. This is as much as a trainer/jockey race as any. The best horses generally have the best connections. Breeding counts, but less than it used to.
#17 Fierceness is a legitimate favorite, the most talented horse in the field, and maybe not by a little. Can we counterfeit him? The Pletcher/Velasquez connection is as strong as it gets, so we would have to go on the theory that he gets a bad trip on the outside, and has never yet had to chase a horse. This is the Derby after all, and since we are doing this for fun, let’s take a shot.
In terms of connections, #2 is Chad Brown, #4 and #8 are Brad Cox, #6 is our old buddy D. Wayne, #19 is Billy Mott. We use all of them.
I get legit contenders as #2,4,6,7,8,17,19. #2, Sierra Leone, is a legit 2nd choice, a very hard closer. My long bomb is #3, Mystik Dan. He's got a good name, good form,, and a couple of bad trips.
My handicap play is Fierceness going out front and ...
Deep Dive: Alabama-Michigan Playoff, Rose Bowl, January 1, 2024
Season Comparisons
Yard Per Play
Michigan Offense: 6.1, 43rd
Michigan Defense: 4.3, 4th
Alabama Offense: 6.4, 30th
Alabama Defense: 4.9, 18th
A deep dive, with talent-based power ratings, yard-per-play performance based power ratings, and third party independent database game simulation power ratings, and inidivudal game write-up of each title game. A few sites I utilize often:
https://collegefootballdata.com/teams
https://www.pff.com/greenline/ncaa
https://247sports.com/Season/2023-Football/CollegeTeamTalentComposite/
https://collegefootballnerds.com