Deep Dive: National Title Game, Michigan-Washington, January 8, 2024
ANY PICKS MADE IN THIS SHOW ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"
No Show for "Smoke the Spread" this afternoon... We'll be back with y'all tomorrow at 5:00 PM EST, over on Rumble on the channel "That Damn Sports Network"... OR... You can find me every morning (Monday - Saturday at 7:30 AM EST), with My Guy @GameOnShow, on the "Game On" channel for your "Sports Morning Espresso Shot".. We'd Love For You To Join Us!!!!
Here's What I'm Rollin With Today....
THESE ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"
ALL MY ODDS COME FROM DRAFTKINGS
2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended on debate bets.
VP Bets
Predictit
GOP VP Vance YES 17%
GOP VP Carson YES 6%
GOP VP Burgum NO 61%
UK Election
BetUs
1% Most Seats REFORM +5500
Conservative Vote UNDER 20.5%
Labour Vote UNDER 42.5%
Liberal Dem Vote UNDER 13.5%
Reform Vote OVER 16.5%
Labour Margin of Victory Under 17.5%
Debate Bets
BetUs
Debate Exceed 90 minutes NO
10/12 Topics Discussed UNDER
First Topic Foreign Policy +250
Handshake YES +200
CNN Poll Winner Biden -125
Biden Striped Tie +175
1st State Mentioned Pennsylvania +325
1st Sip of Water Biden -130
Moderator Accused of Bias YES +150
Major Gaffe NO +110
2020 Election YES -150
Fact checking interruptions UNDER 10.5 times
Biden Mention infrastructure Bill in 1st 15 minutes YES
Biden Comment on Crypto NO
Trump to mention MAGA OVER 1.5 times
1st Candidate to mention Economy Trump -120
1st Candidate to mention COVID Biden -120
1st Candidate to ...
Show predictions on group point totals is currently 11-3-2, with 8 teams in play on Wednesday, the final match day of the group stage. We have 6 picks left. Here's what we're cheering for in those picks on Wednesday...
BELGIUM to win over Ukraine (a push if they tie)
Romania or Slovakia to lose (a split outcome on picks)
PORTUGAL to win over Georgia (a push if they tie)
TURKEY to win over Czechia
Deep Dive: Alabama-Michigan Playoff, Rose Bowl, January 1, 2024
Season Comparisons
Yard Per Play
Michigan Offense: 6.1, 43rd
Michigan Defense: 4.3, 4th
Alabama Offense: 6.4, 30th
Alabama Defense: 4.9, 18th
A deep dive, with talent-based power ratings, yard-per-play performance based power ratings, and third party independent database game simulation power ratings, and inidivudal game write-up of each title game. A few sites I utilize often:
https://collegefootballdata.com/teams
https://www.pff.com/greenline/ncaa
https://247sports.com/Season/2023-Football/CollegeTeamTalentComposite/
https://collegefootballnerds.com